Market Updates
Keep up-to-date in the past week’s price action and the current geopolitical and economic factors driving the international and local precious metal markets.
Inflation Bomb Set to Blow
JP Morgan says US money printing may ignite an inflation bomb. This week we also look at China's call for a new super-sovereign currency to counter the US dollar and why Scotiabank closed its bullion trading & leasing business.
You Can’t Print Gold
Gold edged higher this week to $1,726 and silver is tracking sideways around the USD $15 per ounce level, yet to make up its mind on whether to join gold or remain uncoupled as the AUD/USD trades at 0.635 .
This week we look at the report from the Bank of America revising gold price forecast to $3,000, how Coronavirus has permanently changed investor psychology, and the role gold can play in your portfolio.
Look Very Closely at Silver
Gold advanced to $1,648 this week on US dollar weakness and silver battled with the $15 level after adding around 7% from the start of the week. The USD index retreated, putting the AUD back above 62c seeing gold for local investors pull back to $2,648 and silver $24.25. This week we look at government stimulus to pacify stressed out and scared households, and a close look at price action in silver and clues the market has bottomed.
Dead Cat Bounce
A bit of a mixed week for the metals, with gold initially falling but recovering back above $1600 and silver to $14.56. The Aussie dropped to 60.5 cents this week helping local prices recover to trade around $2,670 for gold and just over $24 for silver. This week we ponder buy equities on government intervention, or will it be a dead cat bounce?, how much free float is there in the gold market?, and will price increases balance the market, or is gold a Giffen good?.
Another Week, Another New Gold Price High
A good week for the metals with gold staging a recovery above $1,600 and silver outperforming to over $14.50. For Aussie investors, we saw the $A gold price reach a new high of $2,766.95 but our dollar recovering from its lows took some of the shine off local gold prices and they moderated back to $2,655 and silver just under $24. This week we look at when spot and futures price diverge by $100, what is the real price of gold, and preparing for the unforeseeable.
Worst Crash Since 1987
Stock markets have seen the most vicious sell-off since the 1987 “Black Monday” crash and the precious metals were dragged down on liquidating longs. However, with the AUD taking a beating to 62.7 cents gold in AUD terms remains only slightly lower at $2,510 and silver at $25.35.
This week we look at why has gold underperformed given the dramatic stock and bond market movements, the historic gold:silver ratio and what our clients are buying, and diversifying your super with gold.
Volatility is the New Normal
The metals recovered this week with equity market volatility sending gold to $1,670 and silver $17.45. The Aussie dollar’s recovery cut into local price gains but gold was still up from recent lows to $2,520 and silver to $26.30.
This week we look at how gold and silver brushed off their initial sell off, a contrarian thought: monetary policy is not going to cure COVID-19, corona hitting Australian confidence, and toilet paper inventory, and only five more years and central bank gold stocks back to 1971 “Nixon shock” levels.
Markets Awaken: US Stocks Crash 11%
The US stock market finally woke up to coronavirus risk with the S&P 500 crashing 11.60% in less than a week, and gold jumping to highs of $1,687. Silver fell back this week to $17.80 given 18% of annual fabrication demand comes out of China. With the Australian dollar down over 6% this year to fresh lows at 0.656, local gold prices were a tick above $2,500 and silver at $27.10.
This week, we look at coronavirus’ impact on the Australian economy, and with other countries resorting to cash handouts, is Australia next?
World in a Silent Depression
Gold broke above the crucial $1,586 level this week, trading above $1,620; silver moved above $18 into a resistance zone between $18.40 and $18.50. The Australian dollar busting down past 0.66 put a rocket booster under the metals’ Aussie prices, with gold at $2,462 and silver $28.05.
This week, we delve into how a 60/40 stocks/bonds portfolio can have lost decades of returns, and the case for a Dragon Portfolio with a 19% allocation to gold.
Corona Cramps China Supply Chains
US gold rallied to $1,577 and silver fell back to $17.66 this week. The AUD/USD was on struggle street last week, hitting an 11 year low and pushing AUD gold higher to $2,346.
This week, we look at the impact of coronavirus on global supply chains and gold demand, central banks keen on issuing their own digital currencies, and Australians overexposed to housing and over-valued equities.
US Stocks Go Parabolic
The metals eased as markets accepted the official coronavirus numbers, with gold lower to $1,565 and silver to $17.80. A RBA rates hold pushed the AUD higher to 0.673 and the local gold price down to $2,326, with silver at $26.70.
This week we discuss crazy parabolic US stock prices that are disconnected from company sales/earnings, and crowd sourced gold & silver price forecasts from expert analysts with a good track record
Worrying Trend for Aussie Retail
Gold continued higher on coronavirus concerns to $1,577 with silver reaching $17.90 while also sending the AUD/USD lower to 0.671c - resulting in an all-time high AUD gold price of $2,362 (silver $27.08).
This week, we look at worrying trend down in Aussie retail sales, and what will be the economic impact of the coronavirus?
Davos: Green Swans and Inequality
A slow and steady week for the metals with gold tracking sideways to USD$1,560, silver falling back to $17.80 and platinum pulling back to $1,000. Australian prices also steady at $2,280 and $26.05.
This week we cover what’s up with palladium?, the elites’ annual meet at “Green” Davos, central bankers’ god complex, and wealth inequality and financial market instability.
5 New Year Investment Resolutions
After an earlier sell-off, gold recovered back above $1,550 with silver trading just under $18. An Aussie dollar close to 0.69c gives gold and silver some stability around $2,250 and $26 respectively.
This week, we dive into five new year precious metal investment resolutions, why rhodium is up 1,187% since bottoming in mid-2016, and is there really no other alternative to stocks?
Gold Spikes on Iran/US Escalation
Over the holidays, the metals broke out and Iran/US tensions put a rocket under that. Gold is holding above the crucial $1,550 level with silver getting dragged along to just under $18. Aussie gold reached a high of $2,352 and is currently $2,262 with silver at $26.17.
This week we look at should you trade like George Costanza – opposite to what your instincts say?, the continuing war on cash in Greece, and China and Sweden Is the greenest gold that which is kept in the ground?
2019 in Review
With the end of 2019 quickly approaching in this last update for the year we look back at 2019 for the events that caught our eye across the precious metals, financial markets and geopolitics.
Debt Jubilees Good for Gold
A volatile week saw gold trade to a $1,486 high before a smack down to stabilise at $1,470 with silver at $16.95. Australian prices ended up much lower at $2,129 and $24.60 thanks to a spike in the AUD to 0.69c.
This week, we dive into what MMT and debt jubilees mean for gold, elites worried about blimp-sized black swans secretly buying gold, and our interview with crypto newsletter Nuggets News
Addicted to Lowe’s Love of Low Rates
Another quiet week with gold holding firmly above the key $1,446 level at $1,458 and silver trading just above $17. The Aussie continues its long-term downward trend, supporting AUD gold and silver at $2,155 and $25.15 respectively. This week we drill into the RBA’s quantitative easing plans to keep rates low, Australian gold exports and Asian demand, and a call option bet on a $4,000 gold price.
Housing Debt Double Century
A relatively quiet week for precious metals with gold trading lower to $1,466 and silver at $17.10 and local prices largely unchanged at $2,160 and $25. This week we discuss Australian households hitting a double century of debt, the unsustainable debt of the US, and safety deposit boxes for the super rich.
Gold Bounces Back from Oversold Levels
Volatility in precious metals prices continued this week with gold dropping as low as $1,446 before rallying back up to $1,470 at time of writing, with silver recovering most of the early week’s losses and trading back above $17 per ounce.
What Backs a Dollar?
This week saw a significant pullback in precious metals prices, with gold dropping 2.9% to USD$1,468 and silver dropping 5.5% to USD$17.10 per ounce, mainly on the back of thawing tensions between China and the US, with both agreeing to start reducing tariffs ‘in phases’.
Record Diwali Gold Demand
Gold bulls had a win in the ongoing battle for the USD$1,500 level with a break north to $1,512 and silver following just above $18. Local prices were somewhat unchanged with the AUD/USD jumping to 69c.
Gold is Under-Owned
Gold and silver continued to trade in a tight range and are holding within the pennant formation we noted last week.
Gold - An Anchor of Trust
Not a very volatile week for precious metals prices in USD terms with gold trading into a tighter range this week, currently above $1,490 and silver $17.50, unchanged from Friday last week.
Focus on Silver Fundamentals
The battle for gold to hold above the psychological USD$1,500 level continued this week with gold whipsawing around that level after failing to hold it convincingly. Bulls are currently losing the battle with gold sitting at $1,493 per ounce, with silver trading at $17.50, so both metals are in a sideward consolidation for now.